Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
29.33% ( 0.01) | 24.39% ( 0) | 46.28% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.87% ( -0.01) | 45.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% ( -0.01) | 67.48% ( 0.01) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( 0) | 28.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( 0) | 64.53% ( -0) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.38% ( -0.01) | 19.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.43% ( -0.01) | 51.57% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.33% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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