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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 31, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Gil Vicente logo

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Butzke (34'), Lima (58')
Pires (80'), Marafona (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Navarro (68')
Alipour (42'), Araujo (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, January 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Gil Vicente

After a rough end to 2022, Gil Vicente have turned their fortunes around since the turn of the year and will be looking to continue in the same vein. Given the contrasting form between the two sides and Pacos de Ferreira's lack of sting up top, we are backing the Gilistas to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawGil Vicente
29.33% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 24.39% (0.0030000000000001 0) 46.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)45.13% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)67.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.62% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.43% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)51.57% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 29.33%
    Gil Vicente 46.28%
    Draw 24.39%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.33%
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 46.28%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Gil Vicente

Pacos de Ferreira
22.2%
Draw
13.9%
Gil Vicente
63.9%
36
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 8.15pm
Gil Vicente
1-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Alipour (85')
Gomes (65')

Pires (32'), Delgado (45'), Holsgrove (54'), Antunes (63'), Jordi (67'), Djalo (81')
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
Gil Vicente
1-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Navarro (73')
Cunha (48'), Fernandes (82')
Antunes (52' pen.)
Djalo (31'), Baixinho (69'), Butzke (71'), Ferreira (87'), Diaby-Fadiga (90')
Dec 10, 2021 8.15pm
Jul 30, 2021 8.15pm
Second Round
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Gil Vicente
Pacos de Ferreira win 4-3 on penalties
Denilson (47')
Pires (16'), de Brito Gonzaga (50')
Aouacheria (58')
Soares (45')
May 14, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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