MX23RW : Monday, January 27 19:25:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Arouca

Carvalho (37')
Alipour (58'), Carvalho (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dabbagh (30')
Milovanov (27'), Basso (90+2'), Nunes (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-2 Arouca

With Gil Vicente in danger of plying their trade in Liga Portugal 2 for the first time since 2018, we predict that Arouca will implement further relegation turbulence into the hosts' dressing room when referee Artur Soares Dias brings the curtain down on Sunday evening's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
51.67% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 25.35% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.97% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)53.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)20.84% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)53.52% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (0.033999999999999 0.03)38.53% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (0.036000000000001 0.04)75.27% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 51.67%
    Arouca 22.97%
    Draw 25.35%
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.97%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Arouca

Gil Vicente
21.7%
Draw
8.7%
Arouca
69.6%
23
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 6.45pm
Fourth Round
Gil Vicente
1-4
Arouca
Carvalho (17')
Carvalho (19')
Mujica (6', 38', 58'), Manuel Velazquez (90+3')
Aug 15, 2022 6pm
Arouca
1-0
Gil Vicente
Mujica (1')
Soro (44'), Ruiz (52'), De Arruabarrena (73'), Vitinho (90+1')

Cunha (38'), Carraca (81')
Apr 2, 2022 6pm
Arouca
2-1
Gil Vicente
Silva (55', 59')
Bukia (14'), Quaresma (34')
Simao (45')
Cunha (90+2')
Cunha (82'), Aouacheria (84'), Aburjania (89')
Aburjania (90')
Nov 5, 2021 7pm
Gil Vicente
1-1
Arouca
Navarro (47')
Talocha (70')
Nunes (16')
Quaresma (21'), Silva (35'), Moreira (66'), Kouassi (77')
Silva (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente185762227-522
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
16AVS182971427-1315
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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