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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 12, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Rio Ave

Arouca
0 - 1
Rio Ave


Soro (45'), Esgaio (48'), Quaresma (57'), Simao (57'), Opoku (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yakubu (59' pen.)
Gomes (72'), Rodrigues (77'), Acevedo (89'), Luiz (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-4 Arouca
Tuesday, November 8 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, November 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Rio Ave

Arouca head into the weekend on a fine run of form, claiming five wins and three draws in their last eight matches across all competitions. Rio Ave have endured a poor run away from home this season and we are backing the Arouquenses to come away with a fourth consecutive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawRio Ave
34.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 37.62% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.04% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (0.062000000000005 0.06)57.92% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (0.048999999999999 0.05)78.63% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (0.049999999999997 0.05)31.67% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (0.055 0.05)68.08% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)29.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (0.028999999999996 0.03)65.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 34.48%
    Rio Ave 37.61%
    Draw 27.9%
AroucaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.61%

How you voted: Arouca vs Rio Ave

Arouca
100%
Draw
0.0%
Rio Ave
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2021 5pm
Arouca
0-1
Rio Ave

Othavio Basso (37')
Othavio Basso (42')
Aderlan (38')
Gomes (23'), Gomes (40'), Manuel (50'), Ukra (90+5')
Apr 21, 2017 8.30pm
Rio Ave
3-0
Arouca
Jubal (42' og.), Krovinovic (45'), Tarantini (57')
Guedes (38'), Dias (70'), Marcelo (79'), Krovinovic (83')

Velasquez (38'), Bastos (68'), Tomane (82')
Dec 12, 2016 8pm
Arouca
0-2
Rio Ave

Bracali (90')
Bernardes (75')
Nelsinho (89' og.), Ronan (94')
Apr 16, 2016 4.15pm
Arouca
0-0
Rio Ave

Adilson (22'), Gege (52'), Bernardes (66')

Roderick (13'), dos Santos Ferreira (50'), Novais (57'), Tarantini (81')
Dec 12, 2015 4.15pm
Rio Ave
3-1
Arouca
Gege (1' og.), Marcelo (57'), Novais (79')
Marcelo (30'), Lionn (37'), Novais (49')
Velazquez (71')
Adilson (15'), Gege (24'), Valente (84'), Velazquez (92')
Gege (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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