Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
38.37% ( 0.1) | 28.64% ( -0) | 32.99% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 45.66% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.24% ( 0.01) | 60.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.19% ( 0) | 80.81% ( -0) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( 0.07) | 30.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.08) | 66.9% ( -0.08) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% ( -0.06) | 34.15% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% ( -0.07) | 70.85% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |