Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
38.37% ( 0.1) | 28.64% ( -0) | 32.99% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 45.66% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.24% ( 0.01) | 60.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.19% ( 0) | 80.81% ( -0) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( 0.07) | 30.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.08) | 66.9% ( -0.08) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% ( -0.06) | 34.15% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% ( -0.07) | 70.85% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |