Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.86%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.