Vilafranquense

0 - 3

Arouca

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Vilafranquense had a probability of 27.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Vilafranquense win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.