MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 16:56:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Gil Vicente logo

Estrela Amadora
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Kikas (24')
N'do (62'), Bucca (90+4'), Nanu (90+4')
Jaba (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereira (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 4-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, May 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Farense
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Gil Vicente

Saturday's match is tricky to call, as Estrela's home form betters only four clubs in the Primeira Liga, while Gil Vicente's road return is nothing to write home about. However, the away side's recent four-match undefeated run — with four points picked up from their recent six — points to them finding some form at the backend of the season, and a stalemate could be on the cards in Amadora. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawGil Vicente
31.95% (-0.058 -0.06) 25.78% (0.012 0.01) 42.27% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (-0.067 -0.07)50.02% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-0.058 -0.06)72% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)29.38% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)65.36% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)23.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)57.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 31.95%
    Gil Vicente 42.27%
    Draw 25.77%
Estrela AmadoraDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.95%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 10% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.27%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Gil Vicente
1-1
Estrela Amadora
Pereira (12')
Pereira (45+4'), Marlon (77')
N'do (88')
Mendes (6'), Pereira Martins (56'), N'do (76'), Kikas (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon26195270234762
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto26165551203153
4Braga26165542222053
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2613492725243
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2681082929034
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2558122437-1323
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS26411112037-1723
17SC FarenseFarense2638151737-2017
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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