Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Arouca
This could be a close battle between two teams who are yet to get firing this season, but with the number of chances that Rio Ave are giving to their opponents in these opening games, Arouca could capitalise on these frailties if they take their chances. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
41.49% ( -0.02) | 26.31% ( 0.06) | 32.2% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
