Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 0-0 Estoril (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Arouca
It has been a slow start to the league campaign for Estoril Praia and Arouca, who find themselves separated by just one point at the bottom of the table, and we expect both sides to go all out in search of maximum points this weekend. The Arouquenses take on a deflated Estoril side who were sent packing from the Taca de Portugal last time out, and we are tipping them to come away with the desired result, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Arouca |
23.18% ( -0.13) | 23.13% ( 0.07) | 53.7% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
