Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
25.37% ( 0.07) | 26.73% | 47.9% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.13% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.98% ( 0.06) | 57.02% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.09% ( 0.05) | 77.91% ( -0.04) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.89% ( 0.09) | 38.11% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.12% ( 0.09) | 74.88% ( -0.09) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% | 23.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.97% ( -0) | 58.03% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.37% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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