Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Stuttgart0 - 1St Pauli
We said: Stuttgart 3-1 St Pauli
St Pauli could have opportunities in the final third given the hosts have struggled to keep clean sheets in recent weeks. However, Stuttgart's strong home record and resurgence in the Bundesliga should mean they are considered strong favourites to take all three points on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | St Pauli |
67.16% ( -0.97) | 18.08% ( 0.33) | 14.77% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
