Champions League | League Stage
Dec 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
We said: Stuttgart 3-1 Young Boys
Young Boys have had a dreadful start to the season in both the Champions League and Swiss Super League, and while Stuttgart have struggled in their five league phase matches, they are undoubtedly the favourites heading into this one, and we expect a comfortable win for the hosts.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 61.28% . A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 18.78% .
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (7.94%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%) , while for a Young Boys win it was 1-2 (5.08%) . The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result Stuttgart Draw Young Boys 61.28% ( 0.12) 19.94% ( -0.23) 18.78% ( 0.12)
Both teams to score 60.1% ( 1.09)
64.34% ( 1.31) 35.66% ( -1.31)
42.27% ( 1.44) 57.73% ( -1.43)
88.73% ( 0.43) 11.27% ( -0.43)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 64.12% ( 0.92) 35.88% ( -0.92)
67.73% ( 0.91) 32.27% ( -0.9)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.23% ( 1.01) 68.77% ( -1.01)
Stuttgart 61.28%
Young Boys 18.78%
Draw 19.94%
Stuttgart Draw Young Boys 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.7% Total : 61.28% 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.94% 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.26% Total : 18.78%
How you voted: Stuttgart vs Young Boys
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