Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.