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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
37.03% ( 0.13) | 24.67% ( 0.02) | 38.3% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.95% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.87% ( -0.11) | 44.13% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.49% ( -0.1) | 66.51% ( 0.1) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% ( 0.02) | 23.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.39% ( 0.03) | 57.61% ( -0.03) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.11% ( -0.13) | 22.89% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.36% ( -0.19) | 56.64% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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