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Preston North End logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale
Charlton Athletic

Preston
2 - 1
Charlton

Osmajic (32', 47')
Gibson (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Berry (40')
Jones (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's rearranged FA Cup clash between Preston North End and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Reading
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Despite being in the division below, Charlton have been taking this competition seriously so far with a superb win over Walsall, and they have been in excellent form in League One. Preston are lingering in mid-table in the Championship so should field a strong team, but despite an excellent run in the EFL Cup, they could be in for a surprise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawCharlton Athletic
33.31% (-0.623 -0.62) 25.84% (-0.167 -0.17) 40.85% (0.793 0.79)
Both teams to score 54.27% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.09% (0.582 0.58)49.9% (-0.58 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.1% (0.519 0.52)71.89% (-0.517 -0.52)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)28.44% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8% (-0.138 -0.14)64.2% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.672 0.67)24.16% (-0.669 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (0.943 0.94)58.48% (-0.94 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 33.31%
    Charlton Athletic 40.85%
    Draw 25.84%
Preston North EndDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.43% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.074 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.062 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.85%

How you voted: Preston vs Charlton

Preston North End
Draw
Charlton Athletic
Preston North End
59.7%
Draw
14.5%
Charlton Athletic
25.8%
62
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Nov 3, 2019 12pm
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Preston
2-1
Charlton
Garner (35'), Robinson (52')
Welsh (89'), Robinson (90')
Gudmundsson (37')
Sanogo (79')
Lennon (74')
Apr 28, 2012 3pm
Preston
2-2
Charlton
Hunt (57'), Alexander (90')
Hunt (58'), Alexander (90')
N'Guessan (35'), Haynes (11')
Green (64')
rhs 2.0
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