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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
25.61% ( -0.05) | 23.33% ( -0.01) | 51.06% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% ( -0.02) | 43% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.59% ( -0.02) | 65.4% ( 0.02) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% ( -0.05) | 30.33% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% ( -0.06) | 66.52% ( 0.06) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.08% ( 0.01) | 16.92% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.02% ( 0.02) | 46.98% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.61% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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