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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
68.87% ( 0.03) | 17.81% ( -0.04) | 13.31% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.66% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.42% ( 0.21) | 36.58% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.27% ( 0.23) | 58.73% ( -0.24) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.37% ( 0.06) | 9.63% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.83% ( 0.15) | 32.17% ( -0.16) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.48% ( 0.14) | 39.52% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.79% ( 0.13) | 76.2% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.22% Total : 68.87% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.81% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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