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Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
FC Volendam

Sparta
1 - 0
Volendam

Lauritsen (75')
de Guzman (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Le Roux (35'), Cox (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 2-3 Sparta
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 4-0 Volendam
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 4-1 FC Volendam

Although Sparta Rotterdam's home record is far from perfect, they should come into the game buoyed by their good form. Additionally, the defensive frailties of Volendam cannot be ignored, and considering that they have several absentees, it is feasible that Sparta could hamper any remaining hope that Volendam have of Eredivisie survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 74.53%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Volendam
74.53% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 14.78% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 10.68% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.89% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.49% (0.01700000000001 0.02)28.51% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.63% (0.020000000000003 0.02)49.37% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.52% (0.0020000000000095 0)6.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.2% (0.004999999999999 0)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)38.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14% (0.039999999999999 0.04)74.86% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 74.53%
    FC Volendam 10.68%
    Draw 14.78%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Volendam
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.14% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.57%
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 2.69% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-2 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 74.53%
1-1 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 14.78%
1-2 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 10.68%

How you voted: Sparta vs Volendam

Sparta Rotterdam
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
FC Volendam
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Volendam
1-4
Sparta
De Haan (13')
Vriends (6', 87'), Kitolano (42'), Verschueren (90+1')
Velthuis (37')
May 13, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 32
Volendam
2-1
Sparta
Mbuyamba (37', 90+1')
Antonucci (67'), Benamar (70')
Saito (5')
Eerdhuijzen (57'), Sambo (89')
Sep 3, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 5
Sparta
4-0
Volendam
Van Crooij (14'), Lauritsen (68', 72'), Mijnans (85')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 23
Volendam
2-2
Sparta
Antwi (79'), Visser (86')
Vlak (58'), Baly (75'), Kok (86')
Duarte (3'), Harroui (44')
Aug 24, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 2
Sparta
2-0
Volendam
Dervisoglu (53', 85')

Tol (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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