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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 74.53%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Volendam |
74.53% ( -0.02) | 14.78% ( 0.01) | 10.68% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.89% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.49% ( 0.02) | 28.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.63% ( 0.02) | 49.37% ( -0.02) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.52% ( 0) | 6.48% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.79% ( -0) | 24.2% ( 0) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.9% ( 0.04) | 38.1% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% ( 0.04) | 74.86% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 4.59% Total : 74.53% | 1-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 14.78% | 1-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 10.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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