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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
22.08% ( 0.56) | 22.4% ( 0.44) | 55.52% ( -1) |
Both teams to score 56.78% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.49% ( -1.32) | 42.51% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.09% ( -1.33) | 64.91% ( 1.33) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.95% ( -0.23) | 33.05% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.35% ( -0.26) | 69.64% ( 0.26) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.81% ( -0.78) | 15.19% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.18% ( -1.48) | 43.82% ( 1.48) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.08% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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