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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
27.57% ( -0.07) | 23.45% ( -0.05) | 48.98% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.03% ( 0.16) | 41.97% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.62% ( 0.16) | 64.37% ( -0.16) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.67% ( 0.04) | 28.32% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.94% ( 0.05) | 64.05% ( -0.05) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( 0.1) | 17.31% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.34% ( 0.18) | 47.66% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 48.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |