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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Polman Stadion
FC Utrecht

Heracles
1 - 3
Utrecht

Nankishi (62')
Limbombe (25'), Willems (60'), Vejinovic (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Romeny (5'), Jensen (45+6'), Bakboord (90+4' og.)
Bozdogan (34'), Fraulo (58'), Barkas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, September 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-0 FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht will be hoping for a new manager bounce after the recent appointment of Jans, but it may take time for the former Twente boss to turn around the form of his struggling side. As such, we expect the visitors to continue their impressive form at Erve Asito, making it three wins on the bounce on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawFC Utrecht
49.98% (-0.195 -0.2) 23.18% (-0.124 -0.12) 26.84% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.735 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (0.83900000000001 0.84)41.29% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (0.84699999999999 0.85)63.69% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (0.241 0.24)16.68% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.45% (0.43 0.43)46.55% (-0.43 -0.43)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.67700000000001 0.68)28.5% (-0.677 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (0.842 0.84)64.27% (-0.842 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 49.98%
    FC Utrecht 26.84%
    Draw 23.17%
HeraclesDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.096 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.075 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 26.84%

How you voted: Heracles vs Utrecht

Heracles
100%
Draw
0.0%
FC Utrecht
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7pm
Nov 28, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Utrecht
1-0
Heracles
Knoester (90+3' og.)
Paes (80')

Rente (83')
Jan 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 17
Utrecht
2-0
Heracles
Van de Streek (31'), Dalmau (72')
van Overeem (34'), St Jago (89')

Breukers (40')
Nov 1, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 7
Heracles
4-1
Utrecht
Vloet (2', 63', 71'), Van der Water (45+1')
Szoke (26'), Rente (61')
Gustafson (62' pen.)
Ramselaar (65')
Apr 22, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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