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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Erve Asito
Excelsior

Heracles
3 - 1
Excelsior

Limbombe (54'), Hoogma (60'), Sankoh (85')
Willems (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Agrafiotis (19')
Lamprou (39'), Zagre (49'), Smeulers (76')
Lamprou (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Nijmegen
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-2 Sittard
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 SBV Excelsior

Excelsior will be buoyed by their unbeaten start to the new season, and we think that they will continue their impressive run against a Heracles side that they have beaten in three consecutive head-to-head meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
59.46% (0.89100000000001 0.89) 21.55% (-0.368 -0.37) 18.98% (-0.527 -0.53)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.306 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.11% (0.855 0.86)42.89% (-0.855 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (0.841 0.84)65.29% (-0.843 -0.84)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (0.563 0.56)14.06% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (1.09 1.09)41.63% (-1.093 -1.09)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.66% (-0.061 -0.06)36.33% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.88% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)73.12% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 59.46%
    SBV Excelsior 18.98%
    Draw 21.55%
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.19% (0.13 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.133 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.075 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 59.46%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.55%
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.98%

How you voted: Heracles vs Excelsior

Heracles
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
SBV Excelsior
62.5%
8
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 7pm
Second Round 2nd Leg
Heracles
1-3
Excelsior
Bakis (28')
Hoogma (56')
Dallinga (47'), Wieffer (63'), Agrafiotis (83')
Horemans (43')
May 18, 2022 5.45pm
Second Round 1st Leg
Excelsior
3-0
Heracles
Azarkan (21'), Dallinga (74'), Driouech (85')

Schoofs (29')
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Heracles
4-5
Excelsior
Dalmau (23', 51', 59'), Duarte (62')
Rossmann (43')
Omarsson (4', 45', 91'), Mattheij (71'), Eckert (89')
Dec 22, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Excelsior
0-3
Heracles

Mattheij (85')
Peterson (35'), Kuwas (43'), Osman (66')
Peterson (61')
Apr 18, 2018 6.45pm
Excelsior
2-2
Heracles
Messaoud (7'), Van Duinen (51' pen.)
Messaoud (58'), de Wijs (93')
Monteiro (92', 94')
Droste (7')
van Ooijen (49')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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