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NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Goffertstadion
FC Volendam

Nijmegen
3 - 3
Volendam

Ogawa (6', 90+8'), Mattsson (90+1' pen.)
Tavsan (8'), Mattsson (41'), Schone (86')
Tavsan (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muhren (34'), de Haan (78'), Twigt (90+6')
Twigt (87'), Backhaus (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, October 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-0 FC Volendam

NEC will miss the presence of marksman Dost in the coming months, but the hosts will be determined to put on a good show with the 34-year-old watching on TV. Volendam have been poor on the road so far this season, and we cannot envisage this changing at Goffertstadion on Sunday afternoon in the Eredivisie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawFC Volendam
70.45% (0.196 0.2) 16.76% (-0.103 -0.1) 12.8% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.21% (0.10700000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.37% (0.268 0.27)32.62% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.71% (0.31 0.31)54.29% (-0.312 -0.31)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (0.10599999999999 0.11)8.26% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.15% (0.27200000000001 0.27)28.85% (-0.273 -0.27)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36% (0.044000000000004 0.04)37.64% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (0.042999999999999 0.04)74.42% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    NEC 70.45%
    FC Volendam 12.8%
    Draw 16.76%
NECDrawFC Volendam
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.04% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.85% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.01% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.9% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.5% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.44% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.04% (0.018 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 70.45%
1-1 @ 7.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.76%
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-2 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 12.8%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Volendam

NEC
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
FC Volendam
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 23
Nijmegen
3-0
Volendam
Marquez (57'), Dimata (66'), Marques (90+1')
Aug 14, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Volendam
1-4
Nijmegen
Van Mieghem (11')
van Mieghem (34'), Eiting (57')
Tavsan (17'), Tannane (19'), Duelund (76'), Bruijn (90')
Mar 15, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Nijmegen
1-0
Volendam
Tavsan (20')
Barreto (64')

Betti (61'), Kruiver (75')
Sep 15, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Volendam
1-3
Nijmegen
Kaars (90+3')
Tavsan (23'), Janga (27', 90+4')
Mar 13, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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