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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
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NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Goffertstadion
Vitesse

Nijmegen
1 - 3
Vitesse

Mattsson (26')
van Rooij (45+2'), Verdonk (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
van Ginkel (6'), Oroz (89'), Manhoef (90+4')
Meulensteen (18'), van Ginkel (25'), Hendriks (30'), Hamulic (65'), Kozlowski (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Vitesse
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-0 Vitesse

Vitesse have had a difficult start to the new Eredivisie campaign, and while they have the qualities to produce results, this weekend could be a tough one. NEC are performing well in home fixtures, particularly from an attacking sense, and that is something that should allow them to take all three points in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawVitesse
48.15% (1.227 1.23) 23.24% (-0.137 -0.14) 28.6% (-1.093 -1.09)
Both teams to score 60.82% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.71% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)40.29% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)62.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.452 0.45)16.98% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (0.796 0.8)47.09% (-0.797 -0.8)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.742 -0.74)26.74% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99% (-0.99 -0.99)62.01% (0.99 0.99)
Score Analysis
    NEC 48.15%
    Vitesse 28.61%
    Draw 23.24%
NECDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.099 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.134 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.192 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.61%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Vitesse

NEC
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Vitesse
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 29
Nijmegen
1-4
Vitesse
Proper (70')
Bero (25'), Kozlowski (28'), Van Rooij (68' og.), Flamingo (83')
Jan 15, 2023 11.15am
Feb 27, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 22
Vitesse
4-1
Nijmegen
Doekhi (54'), Oroz (56', 80'), Buitink (90+4')
Oroz (81'), Buitink (90+5')
Duelund (49')
Oct 17, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Nijmegen
0-1
Vitesse

Marquez (39'), van Rooij (44'), Barreto (53')
Frederiksen (16')
Openda (58'), Tronstad (59'), Wittek (66'), Bazoer (68')
Apr 2, 2017 11.30am
Vitesse
2-1
Nijmegen
Van Wolfswinkel (51', 84' pen.)
Diks (69'), Kruiswijk (82'), Buttner (90')
Kadioglu (66')
Breinburg (28'), Golla (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II206592428-423
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles214982437-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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