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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
48.15% ( 1.23) | 23.24% ( -0.14) | 28.6% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 60.82% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.71% ( -0.04) | 40.29% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% ( -0.04) | 62.66% ( 0.04) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( 0.45) | 16.98% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.9% ( 0.8) | 47.09% ( -0.8) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( -0.74) | 26.74% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% ( -0.99) | 62.01% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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