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Fortuna Sittard
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Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Goffertstadion
Vitesse

Nijmegen
1 - 3
Vitesse

Mattsson (26')
van Rooij (45+2'), Verdonk (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
van Ginkel (6'), Oroz (89'), Manhoef (90+4')
Meulensteen (18'), van Ginkel (25'), Hendriks (30'), Hamulic (65'), Kozlowski (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Vitesse
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-0 Vitesse

Vitesse have had a difficult start to the new Eredivisie campaign, and while they have the qualities to produce results, this weekend could be a tough one. NEC are performing well in home fixtures, particularly from an attacking sense, and that is something that should allow them to take all three points in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawVitesse
48.15% (1.227 1.23) 23.24% (-0.137 -0.14) 28.6% (-1.093 -1.09)
Both teams to score 60.82% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.71% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)40.29% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)62.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.452 0.45)16.98% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (0.796 0.8)47.09% (-0.797 -0.8)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.742 -0.74)26.74% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99% (-0.99 -0.99)62.01% (0.99 0.99)
Score Analysis
    NEC 48.15%
    Vitesse 28.61%
    Draw 23.24%
NECDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.099 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.134 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.192 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.61%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Vitesse

NEC
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Vitesse
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 29
Nijmegen
1-4
Vitesse
Proper (70')
Bero (25'), Kozlowski (28'), Van Rooij (68' og.), Flamingo (83')
Jan 15, 2023 11.15am
Feb 27, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 22
Vitesse
4-1
Nijmegen
Doekhi (54'), Oroz (56', 80'), Buitink (90+4')
Oroz (81'), Buitink (90+5')
Duelund (49')
Oct 17, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Nijmegen
0-1
Vitesse

Marquez (39'), van Rooij (44'), Barreto (53')
Frederiksen (16')
Openda (58'), Tronstad (59'), Wittek (66'), Bazoer (68')
Apr 2, 2017 11.30am
Vitesse
2-1
Nijmegen
Van Wolfswinkel (51', 84' pen.)
Diks (69'), Kruiswijk (82'), Buttner (90')
Kadioglu (66')
Breinburg (28'), Golla (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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