MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 10:41:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
GelreDome
AZ Alkmaar

Vitesse
0 - 2
AZ


Kozlowski (33'), Isimat-Mirin (36'), Arcus (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavlidis (49', 64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 PSV
Saturday, August 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brann 3-3 AZ (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect this one to be no different. That said, we are tipping the away side to narrowly pip their hosts to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
30.6% (0.728 0.73) 25.73% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 43.68% (-0.758 -0.76)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.187 0.19)50.31% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (0.166 0.17)72.26% (-0.16600000000001 -0.17)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.61 0.61)30.45% (-0.61 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (0.717 0.72)66.65% (-0.717 -0.72)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.279 -0.28)22.94% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.412 -0.41)56.72% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 30.6%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.67%
    Draw 25.72%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.6%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.67%

How you voted: Vitesse vs AZ

Vitesse
5.3%
Draw
10.5%
AZ Alkmaar
84.2%
19
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 24
Vitesse
0-1
AZ
Karlsson (29')
Jan 7, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
1-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (77')
Sankoh (87')
May 29, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
6-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), De Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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