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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadion
NEC

PSV
4 - 0
Nijmegen

de Jong (37', 49' pen.), Lang (38'), Pepi (87' pen.)
de Jong (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pereira (26'), Ross (62'), Dost (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Nijmegen
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 NEC

PSV Eindhoven have a stellar record against NEC, and they have made a fantastic start to the season, winning their first three games. As such, we expect them to record a comfortable victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for NEC had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawNEC
70.01% (-0.0039999999999907 -0) 17.05% (0.0030000000000001 0) 12.94% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 56.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.54%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.77% (0.0040000000000013 0)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)38.16% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 70.01%
    NEC 12.94%
    Draw 17.05%
PSV EindhovenDrawNEC
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.78%
4-0 @ 4.95%
4-1 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3.75%
5-0 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 2.29%
5-2 @ 1.12%
6-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 70.01%
1-1 @ 7.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.29%
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.05%
1-2 @ 3.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.17%
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.47%
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 12.94%

How you voted: PSV vs Nijmegen

PSV Eindhoven
95.5%
Draw
0.0%
NEC
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
2-4
PSV
Tannane (59', 87')
De Jong (7', 50'), Boscagli (21'), Veerman (39')
Oct 30, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
PSV
3-0
Nijmegen
El Ghazi (18'), De Jong (50' pen.), Madueke (84')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-2
Nijmegen
Doan (26'), Gutierrez (36'), Zahavi (61')
Duelund (66'), Okita (72' pen.)
Dec 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
1-2
PSV
Mattsson (8')
Schone (68'), Proper (90+6')
Vertessen (80'), Vinicius (90')
Vinicius (90+2')
Feb 18, 2017 6.45pm
PSV
3-1
Nijmegen
Van Ginkel (20' pen.), Ramselaar (56'), De Jong (94')
van Ginkel (22')
Messaoud (30')
Bikel (20')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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