Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
25.35% | 22.05% ( 0) | 52.59% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.13% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.73% ( 0) | 37.27% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.52% ( 0) | 59.48% ( 0) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( 0) | 27.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.03% | 62.97% ( 0) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.67% ( 0) | 14.33% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.83% ( 0) | 42.17% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.09% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.76% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.81% 2-3 @ 4.02% 1-4 @ 3.02% 0-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |