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Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Nov 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
FC Volendam

Ajax
2 - 0
Volendam

Bergwijn (57'), Akpom (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Twigt (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 5-2 Ajax
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-2 FC Volendam

Van't Schip will be keen to put his stamp on Ajax and make an immediate impact, but success on Thursday is not a given considering Volendam's upturn in form in recent weeks. Both teams have been leaky at the back so far this season and have scored in each of their last five meetings with each other, so goals can be expected in this fixture, but we believe that Volendam will do enough to hold on for a point in Amsterdam. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Volendam
78.06%13.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0) 8.63%
Both teams to score 55.18% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.22% (0.007000000000005 0.01)27.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.53% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.3% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)5.69% (-0.00090000000000057 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.01% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)41.48% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)77.98% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 78.06%
    FC Volendam 8.63%
    Draw 13.31%
AjaxDrawFC Volendam
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.82%
6-1 @ 1.6%
5-2 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.96%
Total : 78.06%
1-1 @ 5.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.75%
0-0 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 13.31%
1-2 @ 2.62%
0-1 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.1%
0-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 8.63%

How you voted: Ajax vs Volendam

Ajax
41.5%
Draw
22.0%
FC Volendam
36.6%
82
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Ajax
1-1
Volendam
Kudus (80')
Mirani (59')
Dec 7, 2022 11am
Club Friendlies
Ajax
5-4
Volendam
Hato (56'), Conceicao (58', 69'), Brobbey (65', 89')
Oristanio (7'), Antonioli (46', 74'), Plat (48')
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Volendam
2-4
Ajax
Zeefuik (74'), Eiting (86')
Tadic (17' pen.), Bassey (39'), Brobbey (64'), Klaassen (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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