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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Almere City |
38.95% ( -1.39) | 23.99% ( -0.04) | 37.06% ( 1.43) |
Both teams to score 61.5% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.18% ( 0.34) | 40.82% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% ( 0.34) | 63.21% ( -0.34) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% ( -0.51) | 21.11% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% ( -0.8) | 53.94% ( 0.81) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( 0.9) | 22.04% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( 1.34) | 55.37% ( -1.34) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.95% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |