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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
GelreDome
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Vitesse
1 - 4
Sparta

Kozlowski (45+1')
Aaronson (57')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Mito (7'), Clement (19'), Saito (43'), Eerdhuijzen (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 4-0 Sittard
Saturday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam

Considering their woeful record at the GelreDome this season, Vitesse supporters will not be expecting much from their side as Sparta come to town on Tuesday night. Buoyed following their four-goal success over Fortuna, De Kasteelheren should be primed and ready to secure back-to-back wins in the Eredivisie for first time since this campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawSparta Rotterdam
43.28% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 24.59% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 32.13% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)44.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (0.025000000000006 0.03)20.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)26.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)61.9% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 43.28%
    Sparta Rotterdam 32.13%
    Draw 24.59%
VitesseDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.28%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.13%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Sparta

Vitesse
21.6%
Draw
16.2%
Sparta Rotterdam
62.2%
37
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 6
Sparta
1-0
Vitesse
Verschueren (6')
Bakari (58')

Cornelisse (65'), Arcus (85')
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Sparta
3-1
Vitesse
Verschueren (11'), Saito (45'), Kitolano (87')
Oroz (7')
Nov 5, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Vitesse
0-4
Sparta
Lauritsen (69', 88'), Mijnans (72'), Verschueren (90+1')
Apr 19, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 23
Vitesse
0-1
Sparta
(67')
Dec 18, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
Sparta
2-2
Vitesse
Mijnans (70', 90+2')
Frederiksen (16', 37')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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