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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 38.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.07%) and 1-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
38.94% ( 0.81) | 22.08% ( -0.04) | 38.98% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 69.07% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.96% ( 0.27) | 31.04% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.56% ( 0.31) | 52.44% ( -0.31) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% ( 0.46) | 16.9% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.06% ( 0.81) | 46.94% ( -0.8) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% ( -0.2) | 16.88% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.09% ( -0.36) | 46.91% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 38.94% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 38.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |