Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
