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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
39.15% | 26.94% | 33.91% |
Both teams to score 50.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.68% | 54.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.3% | 75.7% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% | 27.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% | 62.46% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% | 30.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% | 66.4% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |