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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
64.91% | 21.13% | 13.95% |
Both teams to score 45.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% | 49.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% | 71.93% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.35% | 14.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.21% | 42.79% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.02% | 46.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.53% | 82.47% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 12.69% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.22% Total : 64.9% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.13% | 0-1 @ 5.2% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.96% 1-3 @ 0.95% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |