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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
52.64% ( 0.29) | 22.82% ( 0.05) | 24.54% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 58.49% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.32% ( -0.56) | 41.67% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.92% ( -0.57) | 64.08% ( 0.57) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.13% ( -0.1) | 15.87% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.91% ( -0.19) | 45.09% ( 0.19) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% ( -0.57) | 30.47% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( -0.69) | 66.69% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.64% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 24.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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