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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
57.42% ( -0.78) | 20.91% ( 0.36) | 21.67% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 61.51% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.99% ( -1.16) | 36.01% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.89% ( -1.29) | 58.1% ( 1.29) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% ( -0.59) | 12.44% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.63% ( -1.24) | 38.37% ( 1.25) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -0.29) | 29.75% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% ( -0.35) | 65.81% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.2% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 21.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |