MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 16:54:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Excelsior

PEC Zwolle
2 - 1
Excelsior

FT(HT: 1-0)
Duijvestijn (86')
Nieuwpoort (16'), Baas (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 5-1 PEC Zwolle
Wednesday, April 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Both teams have been struggling for form in recent weeks, both entering into this game without victory for a stretch of matches, and we expect them to extend their search for victory with a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawSBV Excelsior
57.42% (-0.785 -0.78) 20.91% (0.361 0.36) 21.67% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 61.51% (-0.66999999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-1.16 -1.16)36.01% (1.166 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-1.287 -1.29)58.1% (1.291 1.29)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (-0.587 -0.59)12.44% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.63% (-1.244 -1.24)38.37% (1.249 1.25)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (-0.289 -0.29)29.75% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.354 -0.35)65.81% (0.35900000000001 0.36)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 57.42%
    SBV Excelsior 21.67%
    Draw 20.91%
PEC ZwolleDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.099000000000001 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 57.42%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.91%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 21.67%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior

PEC Zwolle
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
SBV Excelsior
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 9
Excelsior
2-4
PEC Zwolle
Baas (39'), Parrott (84')
Namli (47'), Vellios (66', 81'), Thy (73')
Serrano (90+2'), van Polen (90+3')
Mar 17, 2019 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
Excelsior
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Ehizibue (82'), Namli (84')
Hamer (12'), van Polen (44')
Oct 6, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 8
PEC Zwolle
2-0
Excelsior
Van Duinen (23'), Lam (55')
Hamer (63')

Koolwijk (13'), Bruins (54'), Burnet (60')
Apr 14, 2018 7.45pm
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Excelsior
Mokhtar (17')
Sandler (38'), Ehizibue (55')
Van Duinen (57' pen.)
Mattheij (37'), van Duinen (84'), Hadouir (93')
Dec 9, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-2
PEC Zwolle
Van Duinen (48' pen.)
Fortes (26'), van Duinen (32'), Elbers (64'), Caenepeel (90'), Koolwijk (90')
Elbers (83')
Saymak (49'), Namli (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!