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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lyon

Brest
2 - 1
Lyon

Camara (8'), Ajorque (25')
Fernandes (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Veretout (45+2')
Tessmann (57'), Caleta-Car (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Brest
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, January 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-3 Lyon

 Fatigue may set in very soon for a Stade Brestois side, who are not used to playing so many matches in such a short time span. Lyon, meanwhile, have been well-organised and decisive away from home throughout the campaign, and we expect they will make their opportunities count on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLyon
31.56% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 24.64% (0.004999999999999 0) 43.8% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.68% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)45.2% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)67.54% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)27.25% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)62.68% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 31.56%
    Lyon 43.8%
    Draw 24.64%
BrestDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.56%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.67% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.8%

How you voted: Brest vs Lyon

Brest
10.3%
Draw
25.6%
Lyon
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Lyon
4-3
Brest
Tolisso (18'), Lacazette (70'), Tagliafico (79'), Maitland-Niles (90+16' pen.)
Benrahma (57'), Tagliafico (59'), O'Brien (87'), Matic (90+10')
Tagliafico (86')
Mounie (59'), Del Castillo (64', 67')
Brassier (17'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Locko (87'), Bizot (90+11')
Lees-Melou (86')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Brest
1-0
Lyon
Mounie (87')
Lees-Melou (31'), Camara (64'), Brassier (81')

Nuamah (10')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
0-0
Brest
> Preview
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Brest
2-4
Lyon
Pereira Lage (29'), Mounie (72')
Caqueret (21'), Cherki (32'), Lacazette (35' pen.), Tete (49')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')
Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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