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Ligue 1
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lyon

PSG
3 - 1
Lyon

Dembele (8'), Vitinha (14' pen.), Ramos (88')
Kang-in (15'), Donnarumma (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mikautadze (40')
Mikautadze (41'), Veretout (45+2'), Tagliafico (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Salzburg 0-3 PSG
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Lyon

 With two lengthy unbeaten spells on the line this weekend, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between pacesetters PSG and Lyon in the French capital. Les Parisiens found their scoring boots at Salzburg on Tuesday, and with an extra two days of rest under their belts, the hosts should have enough in the tank for victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLyon
60.36% (-0.195 -0.2) 20.06% (0.13 0.13) 19.59% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 61.18% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.07% (-0.52499999999999 -0.52)34.93% (0.528 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.09% (-0.589 -0.59)56.91% (0.592 0.59)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.206 -0.21)11.29% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (-0.46000000000001 -0.46)35.93% (0.463 0.46)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.247 -0.25)31.04% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.291 -0.29)67.35% (0.294 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 60.36%
    Lyon 19.59%
    Draw 20.06%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLyon
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.081 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 60.36%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.1% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.4% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 19.59%

How you voted: PSG vs Lyon

Paris Saint-Germain
64.4%
Draw
16.9%
Lyon
18.6%
59
Head to Head
May 25, 2024 8pm
Final
Lyon
1-2
PSG
O'Brien (55')
Caleta-Car (45+2'), Tagliafico (88')
Dembele (22'), Ruiz (34')
Dembele (88')
> Match Report
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
4-1
Lyon
Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')
Nuamah (37')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lyon
1-4
PSG
Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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