Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
29.61% ( 1.65) | 24.48% ( 0.54) | 45.91% ( -2.19) |
Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% ( -1.45) | 45.37% ( 1.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% ( -1.4) | 67.7% ( 1.39) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.37% ( 0.42) | 28.62% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.57% ( 0.53) | 64.43% ( -0.53) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.13% ( -1.47) | 19.87% ( 1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.02% ( -2.44) | 51.98% ( 2.43) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.61% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |