MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 23:31:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
AJ Auxerre

Marseille
1 - 3
Auxerre

Greenwood (65' pen.)
Rabiot (60'), Greenwood (66'), Wahi (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Sinayoko (10'), Perrin (43'), Traore (45')
Leon (66'), Bair (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 4-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Auxerre

Despite suffering from peculiarly poor home form so far, Marseille will again be big favourites ahead of this clash, and will look to take advantage of playing earlier to close the gap on PSG. Auxerre have not travelled well so far this season, and without two key defenders due to suspension, they could struggle to keep this impressive Marseille attack at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
53.67% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 22.24% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.09% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)39.47% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19% (0.012 0.01)61.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03)42.97% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.64% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)65.69% (0.026999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 53.67%
    Auxerre 24.09%
    Draw 22.24%
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.67%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Marseille vs Auxerre

Marseille
87.4%
Draw
10.5%
Auxerre
2.1%
143
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
2-1
Auxerre
Under (75'), Sanchez (77')
Toure (33')
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 6
Auxerre
0-2
Marseille

Jubal (39'), Furlan (54')
Gerson (8'), Sanchez (84')
Tudor (42'), Harit (90')
May 13, 2012 4pm
Aug 14, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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