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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Angers

Marseille
1 - 1
Angers

Rowe (51')
Maupay (27'), Balerdi (31'), Carboni (45+5')
Maupay (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Melali (54')
Rao-Lisoa (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Reims
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 4-0 Angers

A hapless Angers side have been leaking goals for fun at a similar rate to which Marseille have been scoring them, so there only looks like one winner in this contest. The host's defeat last weekend should not be too demoralising, considering how good their start has been, and they are set to close the gap on the two sides above them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawAngers
64.19% (4.052 4.05) 20.21% (-1.402 -1.4) 15.6% (-2.649 -2.65)
Both teams to score 52.2% (-0.941 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.23% (1.552 1.55)42.77% (-1.553 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.83% (1.524 1.52)65.17% (-1.526 -1.53)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (1.699 1.7)12.61% (-1.7 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.27% (3.409 3.41)38.73% (-3.41 -3.41)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-2.282 -2.28)40.26% (2.281 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-2.141 -2.14)76.89% (2.14 2.14)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 64.18%
    Angers 15.6%
    Draw 20.21%
MarseilleDrawAngers
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.61 0.61)
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.51% (0.855 0.86)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.39 0.39)
4-0 @ 3.89% (0.653 0.65)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.405 0.41)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.352 0.35)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.248 0.25)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 64.18%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.664 -0.66)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.358 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.21%
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.643 -0.64)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.601 -0.6)
0-2 @ 2.1% (-0.445 -0.45)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 15.6%

How you voted: Marseille vs Angers

Marseille
89.4%
Draw
7.1%
Angers
3.5%
113
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Marseille
3-1
Angers
Sanchez (34'), Payet (48'), Veretout (77' pen.)
Sima (28')
Sep 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Angers
0-3
Marseille
Clauss (35'), Suarez Charris (50'), Gerson (59')
Feb 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Marseille
5-2
Angers
Milik (18', 70', 78'), Gerson (21'), Under (85')
Fulgini (8'), Bentaleb (11')
Cabot (53'), Mendy (76'), Bentaleb (90')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Angers
0-0
Marseille
Ounahi (44')
Caleta-Car (52'), Balerdi (59'), Harit (65')
May 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 37
Marseille
3-2
Angers
Milik (9', 48', 90+4' pen.)
Rongier (22'), Milik (37'), Sampaoli (87'), Gonzalez (87')
Sampaoli (89')
Pereira Lage (57'), Thomas (85')
Pereira Lage (62'), Thomas (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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