Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 0Nice
We said: Marseille 2-2 Nice
Whether the two-week hiatus has harmed Marseille and Nice's penchant for high-scoring affairs remains to be seen, but with the offensive talent on both sides' disposal, that should not be the case. A four-goal stalemate was the result when the two sides locked horns in this exact fixture last season, and an identical result here is not beyond the realm of possibility. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Nice |
48.64% ( -0.14) | 24.4% ( 0.06) | 26.96% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
