MX23RW : Thursday, June 20 13:38:42| >> :600:1474314:1474314:
Lyon
Coupe de France | Final
May 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Lyon
1 - 2
PSG

O'Brien (55')
Caleta-Car (45+2'), Tagliafico (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dembele (22'), Ruiz (34')
Dembele (88')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe closes his Paris Saint-Germain chapter with another Coupe de France winners' medal as Luis Enrique's side beat Lyon 2-1 at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
37.09% (0.423 0.42) 23.66% (0.055 0.05) 39.25% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 62.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81% (-0.229 -0.23)39.19% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48% (-0.237 -0.24)61.52% (0.234 0.23)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.107 0.11)21.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.167 0.17)54.24% (-0.169 -0.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.318 -0.32)20.26% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-0.511 -0.51)52.6% (0.508 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 37.09%
    Paris Saint-Germain 39.25%
    Draw 23.65%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.092 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.25%

How you voted: Lyon vs PSG

Lyon
30.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
69.4%
98
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
4-1
Lyon
Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')
Nuamah (37')
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lyon
1-4
PSG
Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
1-1
PSG
Paqueta (7')
Palmieri (84'), Boateng (90')
Kehrer (76')
Verratti (43'), Dagba (59')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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