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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
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Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Toulouse

PSG
1 - 3
Toulouse

Mbappe (8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dallinga (13'), Gboho (68'), Magri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Toulouse

Neither PSG nor Toulouse need over-exert themselves in a match where only pride is on the line, but Enrique's men are still searching for the formula for defensive success at home, while Les Violets have made a habit of shining on the road of late. Martinez's men are actually the second-best performing Ligue 1 team away from home in 2024 behind PSG, but Nicolaisen's ban is a significant blow, and on this occasion, we have faith in Les Parisiens to finally put some of their chances away en route to a recovery win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
67.55% (0.096000000000004 0.1) 17.68% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 14.78% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.63% (0.11099999999999 0.11)32.37% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46% (0.128 0.13)53.99% (-0.129 -0.13)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.17% (0.050000000000011 0.05)8.82% (-0.049900000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.75% (0.123 0.12)30.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (0.009999999999998 0.01)71.48% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 67.55%
    Toulouse 14.78%
    Draw 17.68%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.69% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.44% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.28% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 67.55%
1-1 @ 7.87% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 17.68%
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 14.78%

How you voted: PSG vs Toulouse

Paris Saint-Germain
85.3%
Draw
10.7%
Toulouse
4.0%
75
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2024 7.45pm
Final
PSG
2-0
Toulouse
Kang-in (3'), Mbappe (44')
Vitinha (46'), Hernandez (77')

Suazo (45+1')
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Toulouse
1-1
PSG
Aboukhlal (87' pen.)
Mbappe (62' pen.)
Kang-in (45+1'), Ugarte (81'), Donnarumma (85')
Feb 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
PSG
2-1
Toulouse
Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Toulouse
0-3
PSG

Ratao (64')
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 36
Toulouse
P-P
PSG
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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