Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse2 - 2Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Toulouse 1-1 Marseille
With both sides fairly equal in terms of league position, we are expecting a close match between Toulouse and Marseille at Stadium de Toulouse on Sunday. Les Violets have been afforded longer to prepare for this clash due to Les Olympiens' European exploits, and we reckon that the hosts will be good enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Marseille |
34.42% ( -0) | 25.61% | 39.97% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( 0) | 48.66% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( 0) | 70.77% ( -0) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( 0) | 27.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.45% ( -0) | 62.55% ( 0) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0) | 24.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.67% ( 0) | 58.32% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 34.42%
Marseille 39.97%
Draw 25.6%
| Toulouse | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.97% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Marseille
Toulouse
48.1%Draw
18.5%Marseille
33.3%27
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
Nov 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Marseille
