MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 00:48:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Toulouse

Marseille
0 - 0
Toulouse


Correa (64'), Marcelino (80+80'), Harit (89')
FT

Schmidt (4'), Desler (45'), Magri (77'), Restes (79'), Bangre (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Marseille
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Toulouse

While Toulouse have made a decent start to the season, we expect Marseille to maintain their unbeaten record by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawToulouse
52.16% (-1.01 -1.01) 23.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.72% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 57.64% (1.192 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (1.041 1.04)42.89% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (1.024 1.02)65.3% (-1.023 -1.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.2% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (1.412 1.41)30.99% (-1.411 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (1.624 1.62)67.29% (-1.621 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.16%
    Toulouse 24.72%
    Draw 23.11%
MarseilleDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.425 -0.42)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.186 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.202 0.2)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille
89.6%
Draw
6.3%
Toulouse
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Toulouse
2-3
Marseille
Dallinga (3'), Onaiwu (87')
Mbemba (52'), Under (59'), Tavares (78')
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Marseille
6-1
Toulouse
Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Van den Boomen (66' pen.)
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Marseille
1-0
Toulouse
Payet (51')
Gonzalez (15')

Makengo (61'), Sylla (71')
Nov 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Marseille

Sangare (32'), Isimat-Mirin (63'), Amian (86')
Moreira (41')
Benedetto (76'), Radonjic (79')
Strootman (70'), Radonjic (80'), Kamara (82')
May 18, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 37
Toulouse
2-5
Marseille
Leya Iseka (26'), Gradel (61')
Jullien (22')
Sanson (29'), Sakai (50'), N'Jie (76'), Thauvin (90')
Amavi (39'), Rami (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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