Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 1Panathinaikos
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Ioannidis (90+9' pen.)
Brignoli (25'), Vagiannidis (67'), Jedvaj (67'), Mancini (88'), Perez (90+5'), Gnezda Cerin (91')
Brignoli (25'), Vagiannidis (67'), Jedvaj (67'), Mancini (88'), Perez (90+5'), Gnezda Cerin (91')
Panathinaikos win 4-2 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Reims
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
We say: Marseille 2-0 Panathinaikos (Marseille win 2-1 on aggregate)
Marseille will fancy their chances of turning this tie around on home soil, and it is set to be a fascinating contest on Tuesday night. Panathinaikos deserve a lot of respect, but the French outfit have enough quality to overcome the one-goal deficit in order to progress to the playoff round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Panathinaikos |
54.34% ( -0.01) | 23.88% ( 0) | 21.77% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
