Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 11.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.18%) and 0-3 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Marseille |
11.39% ( -0.98) | 20.25% ( -0.22) | 68.36% ( 1.2) |
Both teams to score 40.78% ( -2.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.05% ( -1.36) | 51.95% ( 1.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.31% ( -1.19) | 73.69% ( 1.19) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.55% ( -2.56) | 52.45% ( 2.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.7% ( -1.72) | 86.3% ( 1.72) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.78% ( -0.06) | 14.22% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.05% ( -0.12) | 41.95% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) Other @ 2% Total : 11.39% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.25% | 0-1 @ 14.54% ( 0.74) 0-2 @ 14.18% ( 0.69) 0-3 @ 9.23% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.21) 0-5 @ 1.76% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.14% Total : 68.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |