Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Toulouse |
24.84% ( 0.09) | 25.62% ( -0.01) | 49.54% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( 0.1) | 53.28% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( 0.08) | 74.83% ( -0.08) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.48% ( 0.13) | 36.52% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.69% ( 0.14) | 73.31% ( -0.14) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.47% ( 0.01) | 21.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.41% ( 0.01) | 54.59% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |