Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg3 - 1Ajaccio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 Auxerre
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Strasbourg 1-0 Ajaccio
Strasbourg return to familiar territory following two difficult away assignments, and you feel Antonetti's men will be targeting Sunday's fixture as a must win in their quest for survival. Ajaccio simply need to earn a win this weekend to avoid an even greater challenge of climbing out of the relegation zone, but we believe they will suffer their sixth-straight defeat in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Ajaccio |
56.71% ( 0.11) | 24.56% ( -0.06) | 18.73% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.15% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
